Economy

Fed officials signal support for more rate hikes as inflation stays high

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the Federal Open Market Committee should make at least two additional quarter-point rate increases after holding its target range at 3.75% to 4%. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also said inflation and strong demand support a gradual path toward higher rates.

Fed officials signal support for more rate hikes as inflation stays high
©AI illustration Nolan Thackeray / fcraland.com

Federal Reserve officials are signaling support for additional interest-rate increases after the central bank left short-term borrowing costs unchanged at its meeting this week. Their comments point to continued pressure on borrowing costs for consumers even as policymakers weigh market volatility and incoming economic data.

The Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed panel that sets the benchmark for short-term interest rates, kept its target range at 3.75% to 4%. The decision followed a meeting held Tuesday and Wednesday, according to remarks reported by CNBC and Reuters. The unchanged range means the central bank has not raised its policy rate at this meeting, but officials’ statements indicate that further increases remain under consideration.

Logan calls for two more increases

Lorie Logan, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and a voting member of the committee this year, said inflation remains too high and has stayed above the Fed’s 2% target for too long. In prepared remarks for an event at Davidson College, Logan said the committee should raise rates at least twice more by 25 basis points each time. A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.

“Given the current outlook, it remains clear to me that the FOMC needs to implement at least two more 25-basis-point interest rate hikes,” Lorie Logan said.

Logan also said the Fed could pause after those increases to evaluate economic and financial conditions. She supported the decision to hold rates steady at the latest meeting, saying market volatility was one reason for leaving the target range unchanged. She also said the pause would give the public time to adjust to higher borrowing costs.

Officials emphasize inflation and demand

Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, offered a similar assessment in an interview with SiriusXM. Barkin said inflation was high, demand was strong and unemployment rates were relatively low. He said the direction of future rate increases appeared clear, while the pace would depend on the data and the Fed’s gradual approach.

“Inflation is high, demand is strong, and unemployment rates are relatively low; therefore, I believe the future path for interest rate hikes is quite clear,” Thomas Barkin said.

Barkin said a slower pace would allow policymakers to assess how earlier decisions affect the economy. He said gradual increases make sense when officials are not too far behind the curve and want time to evaluate incoming information.

Policy detailReported position
Current target range3.75% to 4%
Logan’s preferred next stepAt least two increases of 25 basis points
Logan’s roleDallas Fed president and 2026 voting member
Reason for the latest pauseMarket volatility and time to adjust to higher borrowing costs

What the signals mean for household borrowing

The Fed’s policy rate influences the broader cost of borrowing. Changes can affect rates on credit cards, variable-rate loans and some home-equity products, while also influencing lenders’ decisions on new loans. A higher policy rate can increase financing costs, although the effect and timing differ across products and borrowers.

The officials’ comments do not establish a final decision for the committee’s next meeting. Logan said that a pause after additional increases would be appropriate in her view, followed by an assessment of economic and financial developments. Barkin likewise emphasized the pace of increases and the need to study new data. The committee’s future actions will therefore depend on the outlook for inflation, demand, employment and financial conditions.

  • The Fed left its target range at 3.75% to 4%.
  • Lorie Logan said she supports at least two more 25-basis-point increases.
  • Thomas Barkin backed a gradual approach while pointing to high inflation and strong demand.
Nolan Thackeray
Nolan AI Reporter, Economy · the Fed and inflation online

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